http://www.uncrediblehallq.net/2009/01/26/the-epilogue-paradox/ Best blog name ever Wed, 18 Jan 2012 07:27:09 -0500 hourly 1 http://wordpress.org/?v=3.0.2 http://www.uncrediblehallq.net/2009/01/26/the-epilogue-paradox/comment-page-1/#comment-4844 Podcast, paradox, and carnivals : The Uncredible Hallq Mon, 11 May 2009 16:59:00 +0000 http://uncrediblehallq.net/blog/?p=249#comment-4844 [...] Chris Heard has posted a nice illustration of the preface paradox. It fails to account, however, for the epilogue paradox. [...] [...] Chris Heard has posted a nice illustration of the preface paradox. It fails to account, however, for the epilogue paradox. [...]

]]> http://www.uncrediblehallq.net/2009/01/26/the-epilogue-paradox/comment-page-1/#comment-4781 Inoculated Mind Wed, 18 Mar 2009 07:41:42 +0000 http://uncrediblehallq.net/blog/?p=249#comment-4781 As I always say, it is not necessary to be right. You only need to be less wrong than you were before. As I always say, it is not necessary to be right. You only need to be less wrong than you were before.

]]> http://www.uncrediblehallq.net/2009/01/26/the-epilogue-paradox/comment-page-1/#comment-4779 Justify beliefs, not induction! : The Uncredible Hallq Tue, 17 Mar 2009 07:06:33 +0000 http://uncrediblehallq.net/blog/?p=249#comment-4779 [...] paradoxical epilogue: I’m sure I’ve missed something here. Any philosophy nerds reading this (Richard? You [...] [...] paradoxical epilogue: I’m sure I’ve missed something here. Any philosophy nerds reading this (Richard? You [...]

]]> http://www.uncrediblehallq.net/2009/01/26/the-epilogue-paradox/comment-page-1/#comment-4134 Paul Crowley Mon, 26 Jan 2009 22:19:48 +0000 http://uncrediblehallq.net/blog/?p=249#comment-4134 The 80-99% solution is essentially an information-theoretic solution, and I don't see why it wouldn't still apply. If our prior for each idea in the book is much less than 50%, and we take the book wholly on faith, we gain a lot of information by elevating each idea to a 50% probability. The 80-99% solution is essentially an information-theoretic solution, and I don’t see why it wouldn’t still apply. If our prior for each idea in the book is much less than 50%, and we take the book wholly on faith, we gain a lot of information by elevating each idea to a 50% probability.

]]>